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Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by native_samples on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @01:51PM (#29555644)
Failed as in the vaccines, that were being advertised as being 95% effective with no talk of any boosters only 6 months ago, no longer provide any protection at all.

As for the vaccines forcing mutation, SA is only 25% vaccinated so that doesn't work.

Have the vaccines succeeded in preventing many people from dying? That is something for history to judge. There just isn't good enough data on vaccine deaths to judge that at the moment. The problem for COVID vaccines is that whilst they may some people from dying of COVID, not many life years are saved because almost all the COVID deaths are concentrated in the very elderly. Meanwhile vaccine injuries are a looming iceberg because they aren't being properly tracked or recorded. The number of random cardiac failures in athletes is well up this year and eventually people will stop being in denial about the reasons. The long term damage from this programme can be judged in five or ten years.

However, if Omicron does display Delta as it appears to be doing very rapidly, we can say that at most the vaccines were useful for maybe 6-8 months. Bearing in mind you aren't "vaccinated" until your second dose and there's a gap.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by chimprich on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @01:53PM (#29555693)
> Have the vaccines succeeded in preventing many people from dying? That is something for history to judge

Please don't post this nonsense on HN. There's ample evidence for vaccines saving the lives of millions.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by Sohcahtoa82 on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @03:24PM (#29557062)
I don't think I've ever seen so many wrong sentences in a single HN comment.

I would love to go through and debunk them all, but I don't have the time or the crayons, nor would I think it would be effective in changing your beliefs. You're too far gone.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by ADSSDA on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @04:15PM (#29557886)
> Failed as in the vaccines, that were being advertised as being 95% effective with no talk of any boosters only 6 months ago, no longer provide any protection at all.

It's disappointing to see complete lies like this on HN. Vaccines have been, and remain, incredibly effective in preventing hospitalization/death, even without a booster (although everyone should also get their booster).

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by native_samples on Wednesday December 15, 2021 @08:59AM (#29565991)
And why do we think that? Because public health agencies said so?

It's not because the trials proved it - they didn't. At only ~64,000 participants the e.g. Pfizer trial was not powered to show any difference to deaths and didn't use hospitalizations as a goal metric either, only infections.

And so we're forced to rely on the testimony of the same people in charge of the program, where their data is often missing or deceptive in some way. For example Germany has been claiming nearly all cases occur in the unvaccinated. It turned out this wasn't true. Rather, they don't have data at all on the status of most cases, and then reallocate all the "unknown" column to "unvaccinated" because ... well, why not? No matter what they do, plenty of people will still take their word for everything. This was revealed by Die Welt and the response was nothing. They still do it, as far as I know.

The UK data is usually considered to be the best, as in, the most detailed. And there, when the data on deaths is studied carefully it turns out to be riddled with anomalies and problems that cast doubt on whether vaccines did in fact reduce mortality (the numbers are low enough that statistical artifacts can actually matter). For example, in the UK data vaccination reduces non-COVID deaths in unvaccinated people. Don't take my word for it, ask a professor of risk management:

http://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/12/possible-syste...

"Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, this conclusion is doubtful because of a range of serious inconsistencies and anomalies", "The ONS data provide no reliable evidence that the vaccines reduce all-cause mortality."

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by ADSSDA on Wednesday December 15, 2021 @12:18PM (#29568844)
I don't have to trust public health agencies. I can go look up the numbers in my local hospital or ask family members who work there. >90% of ICU cases and deaths are unvaccinated. Hand wavy arguments about "the data is bad!" from a non-peer reviewed paper with 0 citations does not convince me that you're arguing in good faith.
Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by native_samples on Friday December 17, 2021 @04:43AM (#29589970)
If your (English) family are telling you that then I wonder when they said it because the official figures were just updated and say >50% in ICU are vaccinated now. It's been changing over time because the vaccines wear off so fast.
Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by ADSSDA on Friday December 17, 2021 @11:44AM (#29594629)
Now you are falling victim to a very common cognitive bias known as the "base rate fallacy". Please read the following:

https://garycornell.com/2021/07/28/the-base-rate-fallacy-x-o...

EDIT:

In the case of my numbers, I'm based in the US. I wish we had a high enough vaccination rate to worry about the base rate fallacy. I'm surrounded by rural areas who unfortunately don't believe in vaccines until they show up in the ER. We have an enormous surgical backlog due to antivaxxers having filled up the hospitals for months on end.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by native_samples on Friday December 17, 2021 @02:42PM (#29597375)
How bizarre. You're the one who brought up that stat in the first place, I'm only pointing out that it's incorrect, at least for the UK - and the US isn't going to be very different. There's no base rate fallacy here because I'm not even building an argument on that data to begin with, you are!

"We have an enormous surgical backlog due to antivaxxers having filled up the hospitals for months on end."

You have a surgical backlog because your hospitals have been firing staff. Former "heros" who, quite sensibly, observed that as they'd already had COVID they didn't need a vaccine for it, and who were immediately demonized and excluded despite the hospitals supposedly being overwhelmed. You might want to meditate on that and consider whether that's the expected course of action during a crisis or not.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by ADSSDA on Friday December 17, 2021 @03:13PM (#29597772)
I get the feeling you are getting your information from highly political sources rather than getting out from behind the screen and talking to real live people.

Where I live, there is no vaccine mandate for hospital staff due to staffing concerns. Talking with actual local physicians, nurses and doctors are quitting in droves after seeing a huge amount of preventable death in the past few months, by patients who deny the reality of the disease they have, and whos families harass hospital staff about treatments that don't work (hcq/ivermectin/whatever the latest magic pill is now).

I actually am against vaccine mandates and don't think anyone who doesn't want the vaccine should be forced to take it. That said, if you don't take it, I don't want you in the hospital if you end up getting covid. Take hcq/ivermectin/whatever joe rogan is saying now rather than occupy a hospital bed, don't clog up the hospital due to your mistake.