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Re:‘Tipping point’ makes partisan polarization irreversible ... by 9wzYQbTYsAIc on Thursday December 09, 2021 @05:01PM (#29503539)
They were documenting the computational model that they used and they did note that it had some predictive success.

Additionally,

“ We see indications of empirical validation in recent events. Prior to 2019, one might have assumed that a global pandemic would bring together those who disagreed on issues for which hot-button righteous indignation was a luxury that could no longer be afforded. Instead, mask wearing became a partisan crest that identified friend and foe on a partisan battlefield. Similar dynamics can be observed in the two impeachment trials of former President Donald Trump. In the first trial, evidence of collusion with a foreign government failed to exert the expected unifying effect. In the second case, an attack on the US Capitol initially elicited bipartisan outrage, followed by a reversal of position among Republican leaders in the weeks leading up to the Senate trial.”

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