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A comment on Some experts suggest Omicron variant may have evolved in an animal host. Parent comment

Re:Some experts suggest Omicron variant may have evolved in ... by dnautics on Thursday December 02, 2021 @02:05PM (#29420875)
We seem to have been increasingly getting bad at that guessing game... Thankfully coronavirus put the kaibosh on the flu at least in the short term, so if it was the flu pangenome making a meta-evolutionary play, we may have reset that clock.
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Re:Some experts suggest Omicron variant may have evolved in ... by nradov on Thursday December 02, 2021 @02:24PM (#29421136)
False. The seasonal influenza vaccine creators haven't been increasingly getting bad at that guessing game. Vaccine effectiveness estimates have fluctuated up and down randomly with no clear trend.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/vaccines-work/past-seasons-estimates...

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Re:Some experts suggest Omicron variant may have evolved in ... by dnautics on Thursday December 02, 2021 @02:51PM (#29421522)
are we looking at the same data? It's hovering around 40% with at least two duds, when it used to be in the high fifties, even 60%. Plus, this is a table of strictly "seasonal" flus. There is no clear definition of what constitutes a "seasonal" flu; If I'm not mistaken, "non-seasonal" is just a catch-all for flus that weren't part of the vaccine package.
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