Re:Could One Shot Kill the Flu?
by foxhop on Monday November 29, 2021 @11:22AM
(#29381635)
This is our 5th endemic coronavirus. They tends to mutate into less lethal more viral over time. Check out the newest varient out of South Africa which looks promising for a healthy future.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Prior coronavirus species tend to evolve toward non-lethality because their peak transmission coincides with peak symptoms. Covid-19 is not like that and so has no evolutionary push towards non-lethality.
A variant of COVID as lethal as MERS would spread just as well since carriers are asymptomatic most of the time they are infecting others.
I agree that asymptomatic transmission reduces this pressure, but symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers are often still contagious, and there is more public will to enact extreme precautions for more lethal illnesses.
So there is still some evolutionary benefit for lower lethality.