Zvi has been blogging approximately weekly about covid since the beginning, and has a very good track record.

Look through some of his posts and see how they've held up? https://thezvi.wordpress.com/?s=covid

(On credentials, it looks to me like you ended up with his credentials specifically in the context of game design? He's also worked as a trader, which is some practice at turning unclear information coming out in real time into good concrete predictions.)