Re:Science upside for Starship
by abecedarius on Monday November 22, 2021 @07:27PM
(#29313262)
Yeah, that's a reasonable doubt, I'd say. Just not a strong one on its own.
Re:Science upside for Starship
by rich_sasha on Wednesday November 24, 2021 @04:16AM
(#29328247)
Well, extrapolation is always poorly justified in the first place. Extrapolation where problems get exponentially harder is just speculation IMO.
I wish them well, but I'm tired of all these blogs writing about Starship as if it's a done thing, to the point of writing about delivery costs. It might happen, it might not.
Starship seems to, again, require a few of these X% improvements. And the thing about exponential growth, as Covid kindly reminded us, is that eventually it is overwhelming.
So I don't think you can simply extrapolate from "they have a good track record of solving hard problems", because the problems they tackle are getting harder and harder.