I share your holistic view, I don't want everyone around me suffering and acting tense. Its been that way in most of the country for a couple of decades now. A lot of people must really enjoy that, but I don't really see a true benefit to holding everyone down in such a way. To get a fairer society means less profits for employers so there's a lot of effort to contain those costs. My spouse is a teacher so I know what you mean, though teachers are fairly compensated where I live for sure. She makes more than I do with better benefits by a longshot. Most public school teachers in big cities are bad because the families/students are bad, and they have no authority to discipline them. Most teachers that care don't last and go teach for less money in the suburbs.
I'm in Chicago and while dangerous in 80% of the city, if you lived in the suburbs and don't mind winter, I've never known anyone that doesn't like it here. It's my favorite city in the country, it's the only city that the times I've driven out to move or visit elsewhere that I felt heartbroken. The only other place I've lived where I felt that way was France. I've lived all over and multiple countries on top of it. Crime and undesirable weather for most people keeps costs down here. I like Florida but it's such a diverse state that each area needs examined by itself. Just some thoughts.
My thoughts on buying for you are the same for me: at least wait until January. There's just too many near-term risks. My conclusion has been if things are still the exact same as today in Q1 2022, then go ahead and buy, my crystal ball is broken. That said, I'm deal hunting so if I can get anything for 15% off going rate or more, I'll probably just do it. I'm looking at homes that are in blue collar neighborhoods.
If California would allow anyone to build an apartment complex nearly anywhere (as Minneapolis does in many neighborhoods) then there would automatically be more housing, and more affordable housing for blue collar workers and entry level workers. Instead, we have so many neighborhoods where each house is forced to be on .25 acres, or .15 acre, with forced single family occupancy. Affordability is a construction, zoning, and permission problem in California.
And that high expense for housing then trickles up and makes everything more expensive from child care to healthcare to services ... as everyone has to pay workers ever more just so they can get a roof over their heads. People are making $25/hour with no college degree and feel poor.
Regardless though, as a result of working at a successful unicorn and selling a lot of my equity on the secondary market, I ended up benefitting from the Fed's insane money printing anyway (the prices offered for my equity doubled and doubled again in 24 months).
I'm now sitting on a pile of cash. I invested a small amount (about 25%) into stocks (mostly REITs and dividend yielding stocks), but the rest I left in cash with the hopes of buying a home without debt (I can always take out a mortgage later to invest).
But the homes just keep increasing in value. The homes I looked at in 2016 in the Bay Area that were 600K are now 1.5M and up. I took my family out of the Bay Area into the Sacramento area, and even here houses have gone up 30% in the last year. Houses that were 800K are now going for about 1.2M.
But I'm still being patient. Now we're looking to leave the state entirely. I could buy a home here, but I'm looking at the economics for someone who is entry level or working a blue collar job (or being a teacher or caretaker), and I realize I don't want to live here. Apart from housing, I also have to think about what kind of teachers my kids will have, what kind of chefs will be at resteraunts, etc. A California that is unaffordable for everyone but me is a lame place to live.
After checking out Texas, Colorado, and Florida, we've decided we'll get way better value for our money, in terms of lifestyle for the family if we leave. California is bad and only getting worse.