Re:Covid Pass in Lithuania and Throughout Europe
by mewpmewp2 on Thursday October 28, 2021 @06:20AM
(#29024284)
I need some resource that would convince me since this has taken a huge mental toll on me. Not to mention the fact that I'm researching this daily and my thoughts are focused around it, I also feel the pressure from government and all the people being against me. The feeling like I'm to blame for the pandemic is immense.
For example with the arguments that you made, I don't see how it's mathematically, statistically or in any way likely/possible, that heart inflammation rate is just 1 out of 100,000 or less.
The reason being I've seen reports of multiple people getting the diagnosis after the vaccine together, as one example in the video that I showed.
Back of the napkin math again:
Let's say we have 2 billions of vaccinated people.
And let's divide this into 2 groups of 1 bil, and let's say that for each person there's one other person in the other group that they are most connected or tied to, e.g. it could be said that they are partners or a couple. Because the way I've tried to understand how serious the issue could be is whether in those anecdotes I see both people having issues.
If the likelihood is 1 out of 100,000, then we would expect from group A
to end up with 1B/100K, I would expect to see 10,000 affected people over the world.
Now, for each of those 10,000 they have a partner from the group B. The chances for each of their partners to have this same issue should be 1/100,000.
So this comes to roughly there being only a chance of 10% (around 9.5% to be a bit more precise) for there to be any partners with long term issue. So we have this anecdotal video from YouTube. Is whoever sent the video doing a hoax? And the other anecdotal stories with couples/partners both having long term issues, are all of those hoaxes?
I'm in one of the age groups and genders having the highest chances of heart inflammation issues and one at the same time one of the lowest to have issues with covid.
I agree that long covid is a real danger, but just recently some study came out that vaccines may not reduce chances of long covid, just hospitalisations/deaths.
I mean there's too much data that doesn't make sense, the anecdotal stories I'm seeing don't make sense based on usual claims for all the rates and Pfizer studies and everything that I'm seeing.
How can I do anything, if none of this seems to make sense? I feel like I'm slowly going crazy.
For example with the arguments that you made, I don't see how it's mathematically, statistically or in any way likely/possible, that heart inflammation rate is just 1 out of 100,000 or less.
The reason being I've seen reports of multiple people getting the diagnosis after the vaccine together, as one example in the video that I showed.
Back of the napkin math again: Let's say we have 2 billions of vaccinated people. And let's divide this into 2 groups of 1 bil, and let's say that for each person there's one other person in the other group that they are most connected or tied to, e.g. it could be said that they are partners or a couple. Because the way I've tried to understand how serious the issue could be is whether in those anecdotes I see both people having issues.
If the likelihood is 1 out of 100,000, then we would expect from group A to end up with 1B/100K, I would expect to see 10,000 affected people over the world.
Now, for each of those 10,000 they have a partner from the group B. The chances for each of their partners to have this same issue should be 1/100,000.
So this comes to roughly there being only a chance of 10% (around 9.5% to be a bit more precise) for there to be any partners with long term issue. So we have this anecdotal video from YouTube. Is whoever sent the video doing a hoax? And the other anecdotal stories with couples/partners both having long term issues, are all of those hoaxes?
I'm in one of the age groups and genders having the highest chances of heart inflammation issues and one at the same time one of the lowest to have issues with covid.
I agree that long covid is a real danger, but just recently some study came out that vaccines may not reduce chances of long covid, just hospitalisations/deaths.
I mean there's too much data that doesn't make sense, the anecdotal stories I'm seeing don't make sense based on usual claims for all the rates and Pfizer studies and everything that I'm seeing.
How can I do anything, if none of this seems to make sense? I feel like I'm slowly going crazy.