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A comment on Antiviral Molnupiravir Reduces Risk of Hospitalization/Death by ~50 Percent. Parent comment

Re:Antiviral Molnupiravir Reduces Risk of Hospitalization/De... by KaiserPro on Friday October 01, 2021 @01:50PM (#28721501)
remember that in exponential growth, halving the people going to hospital buys you one extra doubling time. (ie, if numbers increase every two weeks, halving the growth buys you two extra weeks.) You need to make sure that the growth has stopped, not just halved.
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Re:Antiviral Molnupiravir Reduces Risk of Hospitalization/De... by _3u10 on Friday October 01, 2021 @05:05PM (#28723375)
Yup, and with an R value for delta between 5 and 8 on a two week infection cycle... well thats about 3 days... even with 100% of people vaccinated it will buy about a month, assuming the vaccine numbers hold and 1/35th of the vaxxed vs unvaxxed get hospitalized.
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