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A comment on What will programming look like in 2020? (2012). Parent comment

Re:What will programming look like in 2020? (2012) by CardenB on Sunday September 26, 2021 @02:02AM (#28658756)
Can you explain how this is worse than random chance?
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Re:What will programming look like in 2020? (2012) by GuuD on Sunday September 26, 2021 @03:04AM (#28658994)
It is, for people who think that the chance of meeting dinosaur on the street is 50% (you either do or don’t)

/s

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Re:What will programming look like in 2020? (2012) by jhgb on Sunday September 26, 2021 @11:41AM (#28661773)
Does that account for multiverses?
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Re:What will programming look like in 2020? (2012) by maest on Sunday September 26, 2021 @05:26AM (#28659524)
They're just using a flat prior, which is maybe inappropriate.
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Re:What will programming look like in 2020? (2012) by Sharlin on Sunday September 26, 2021 @07:16AM (#28659949)
A flat prior over a probability space with only four possible events, but in reality there are of course many more possible events from which those four were originally picked.
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