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A comment on Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater. Parent comment

Re:Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater by arthurcolle on Thursday September 16, 2021 @12:22AM (#28547983)
If the Fed is committed to propping up equity markets which they asserted in no uncertain terms when markets died in the beginnings of the realization that COVID was going to be much more substantive than SARS or H1N1, it was clear that equity markets would take the "good news" of lockdowns + continued lower interest rates as signs that equity markets were going to continue to rally.

I mean basically where is there yield? Crypto + NFTs (yuck to the latter), real estate and equities. Even just running correlation analysis on these various assets over the last 20 years showed that crypto was super underpriced (despite only 12/13 year track record) while real estate is tremendously overvalued and equities were the only thing to react in a reasonable way to both (1) the initial realization covid was serious and (2) the Fed stepping in with 2 novel revolvers for SMB and for corporate credit. Treasury even threw in a bit into the bowl and performed stimulus. The last 1.5 years likely minted more "wealth" than in the previous 100 years combined (hand waving a bit) - a framework was laid to make much more money than what you put in provided you were looking at what was to come based on what was spoken.

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Re:Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater by imtringued on Thursday September 16, 2021 @06:39AM (#28550047)
You know, all these people talking about savings being sacred and driving investment. All that stimulus did nothing. It turns out, unlike the cartoon villain depictions of government in various economic ideologies, governments are one of the biggest drivers of investment in an economy and taking money away from them often results in less investment overall. Meanwhile it's the private sector that failed to invest its money.

When people talk more and more about how lower taxes on the rich boost investment you already know that private investment is dead and won't recover no matter what you do.

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Re:Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater by wombat23 on Thursday September 16, 2021 @05:17AM (#28549598)
> Even just running correlation analysis on these various assets over the last 20 years showed that crypto was super underpriced

care to elaborate?

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Re:Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater by arthurcolle on Friday September 17, 2021 @01:58AM (#28561788)
feel free to reach out to me, my emails are available via links on my profile.
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