Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets
by lvass on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @11:30AM
(#28540377)
So the potential streaker has one extra step, discovering the amount of guards, before placing the bet? How does this solve the problem instead of creating even more of a plutocracy? Gaming the system will always be possible, except for a smaller amount of people.
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Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets
by hugh-avherald on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @11:53AM
(#28540660)
The market is closed before the number of guards is decided. Indeed the whole point of the market is to decide the number of guards.
The potential streaker would have to bet in both markets, so won't affect the difference in prices between the markets.
Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets
by Imnimo on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @02:06PM
(#28542341)
Well, but the reason we want to decide the number of guards in the first place is that we want to prevent a streaker. If, in order to decide the number of guards, we use a process that increases the odds of a streaker, isn't that counterproductive?