Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US?

Re:Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US? by gizmondo on Tuesday September 14, 2021 @06:53PM (#28532611)

Safety - yes, do we really need efficacy trials for such a change? Is it remotely likely to be worse?

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Re:Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US? by oppositelock on Tuesday September 14, 2021 @07:03PM (#28532701)

Nobody knows until you test. Biology is messy, it's not like computers.

Give this a read, Immunology Is Where Intuition Goes To Die. (https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/08/covid-19-...)

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Re:Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US? by gizmondo on Tuesday September 14, 2021 @07:21PM (#28532871)

I happened to read it already.

Are you willing to bet that the tweaked Moderna vaccine (the trials of it was announced, right?) shows worse efficacy than the original? Odds 51:49 in your favor, null hypothesis of the same efficacy is a tie. That's generous I think, if nobody knows.

If not - why not?

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Re:Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US? by Zpalmtree on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @03:43AM (#28536374)

Are you arguing we should just assume the new changes are good and roll them out without testing?

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Re:Why doesn’t natural immunity count in the US? by gizmondo on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @05:01AM (#28536843)

Yes, without large scale randomized efficacy trials. That's what we do with the flu.

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