Re:United States loses AAA credit rating from S&P
by stcredzero on Saturday August 06, 2011 @12:45PM
(#2854263)
First China has to hold together over that time frame. This is feasible... this is not inevitable. There's a lot of tensions over there. Then even if they pass that test, there's other things they're going to have to deal with.
Right. It's entirely possible that China can hold together as a sovereign nation, but will develop or hold onto pathologies which will cripple it as a major power. Then again, the same could also be said for other potential powerhouses like Brazil, Russia, and India. The same could even be said for the EU and the US.
Oh, no it's not. First China has to hold together over that time frame. This is feasible... this is not inevitable. There's a lot of tensions over there. Then even if they pass that test, there's other things they're going to have to deal with.
Right now, there isn't a single world power that's looking to be "inevitably powerful" in the next 50 years, it's really "anybody's game".