The credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's and Fitch) don't know what they are doing! They enabled the financial meltdown. Their ratings are not useful. Their numbers are bad. They are either corrupt, inaccurate or both.
It would be nice and easy to believe that, since S&P puts a "AAA" beside a company's name, that the company is solid. We now know that is false.
Pay attention to Nicholas Taleb's writings: the financial models commonly in use don't work - don't trust them. Use more conservative measures. Avoid markets where you cannot quantify risk.
I think that is largely why this won't have that much of an effect, there isn't a replacement for that much money that is AAA. The "cure" (crowding into what is left) would be more painful to the bond market than the "disease" (us).
I am admittedly learning much of this as I read, but it seems to me that a large concern would be the amount of money that might simply shift out of our economy to economies with better (safer) credit ratings.