Tesla Wanted $22,500 to Replace a Battery. An Independent Shop Fixed It for $5k

Re:Tesla Wanted $22,500 to Replace a Battery. An Independent... by vkou on Monday September 13, 2021 @03:47PM (#28515896)

This may be good advice today, but will it hold five years from now? Ten years from now? Eventually, the delta in death rates per mile traveled will be indistinguishable from zero - either because safety improvements will no longer be significant, or because we have gotten the death rate so low that the difference between it and zero will be negligible.

We're currently at a point where 15-year old vehicles have ~144 deaths per million registered vehicles [1], and 5-year old vehicles have ~40 deaths per million registered vehicles [2]. Sure, you may be willing to pay a premium to get 40 down to 10, but are you willing to pay as much of a premium to get that 10 down to 2.5? 2.5 down to 0.6?

[1] https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/... (~2004 - 14.4 occupant deaths per 100,000 vehicles)

[2] https://www.iihs.org/ratings/driver-death-rates-by-make-and-... (~2016 - 14 to 64 driver deaths per 1,000,000 vehicles)

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Re:Tesla Wanted $22,500 to Replace a Battery. An Independent... by jonfw on Monday September 13, 2021 @03:58PM (#28516023)

The demographics of those who drive 15 year old cars and those who drive 5 year old cars are very different. I'd bet that the 15 year old demo contains more reckless/intoxicated drivers (i.e. young people)

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