Re:The Buffett Indicator
by hdjjhhvvhga on Monday September 13, 2021 @05:06AM
(#28509226)
How do you mean? Looks like an equivalent of a coin flip to me.
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Re:The Buffett Indicator
by harimau777 on Monday September 13, 2021 @07:17AM
(#28510045)
I'm not super knowledgeable in this area, but one possibility is that the "9 of the 5" only gives the number of times that it predicted that there would be a recession. There could be many more times that it accurately predicted that there would not be a recession.
If you flipped a coin every day in order to determine whether or not a recession would start, you'd be wrong 99% of the time.
Re:The Buffett Indicator
by josephcsible on Monday September 13, 2021 @10:41PM
(#28519573)
How do you figure? Wouldn't you be wrong 50% of the time?