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A comment on The Buffett Indicator. Parent comment

Re:The Buffett Indicator by ItsMonkk on Sunday September 12, 2021 @10:29PM (#28507253)
Fed Fund Rate vs 30YT since 1970(only cherry picking this year because the data on fred is poor before this period, and end of gold standard is significant) is a perfect 8/8[0].

[0]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=ENDs

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Re:The Buffett Indicator by thissuchness on Monday September 13, 2021 @12:01AM (#28507748)
And how many degrees of freedom went into the choice of metrics to compare? Just because something went 8/8 doesn't mean it will predict the future crashes.
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Re:The Buffett Indicator by ItsMonkk on Monday September 13, 2021 @12:50AM (#28507962)
I'd argue that minimum time frame -> maximum time frame is a more fundamental metric than any other individual yield curve.
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Re:The Buffett Indicator by bruce343434 on Monday September 13, 2021 @03:58AM (#28508917)
Which curve am I looking at and for what? The blue line dips a lot of times, but only sometimes does a dip coincide with a recession.
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Re:The Buffett Indicator by mellavora on Monday September 13, 2021 @05:00AM (#28509194)
Not the OP, but I'd guess they meant "blue line greater than red line" .
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Re:The Buffett Indicator by ItsMonkk on Monday September 13, 2021 @02:47PM (#28515160)
Exactly. When the blue line greater than red line, shortly thereafter a recession occurs. The blue line is set directly by the Fed.

No one knows exactly why this is.

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