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Re:Hiring Developers: How to avoid the best by mavelikara on Monday September 06, 2021 @11:15PM (#28440537)
I can't find a link to the original 1998 paper, but the authors have an updated paper here: https://home.ubalt.edu/tmitch/645/session%204/Schmidt%20&%20...

In the updated paper, work sample tests do not come up as important as they were in the original paper:

  It appears that almost all of the validity of work sample
  tests is captured by GMA measures, because the incremental
  validity is essentially zero.
But work sample tests are a great mechanism when GMA cannot be used for legal or other reasons. The paper concludes with:

  The research evidence summarized in this article shows 
  that different methods and combinations of methods have
  very different validities for predicting future job 
  performance. Some, such as person-job fit, person- 
  organization fit, and amount of education, have low 
  validity. Others, such as graphology, have essentially no 
  validity; they are equivalent to hiring randomly. Still 
  others, such as GMA tests and integrity tests, have high 
  validity. Of the combinations of predictors examined, two 
  stand out as being both practical to use for most hiring 
  and as having high composite validity: the combination of 
  a GMA test and an integrity test (composite validity of 
  .78); and the combination of a GMA test and a structured 
  interview (composite validity of .76).

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