Re:Surgical masks reduce Covid-19 spread, large-scale Stanfo...
by timr on Friday September 03, 2021 @11:59PM
(#28411952)
The diamond princess people also ate their meals in a shared space, IIRC. I think they changed that eventually, but by the time they did, the conclusion was hopelessly confounded.
but yes, viral concentration is higher near an infected person, but it falls off rapidly (to something like the 3rd power iirc) with distance and time, especially the latter of which being why incidental exposure in public places is unlikely to be material. it's also something a small minority of people have at a given time (on average less than 1% of those around you). it's mainly socializing for extended periods of time where masks can potentially help reduce infection (that's when we're also most likely to let our guard down).
i'd go so far as to posit that sociability (via variables like social graph size/breadth) is likely more correlated to infection than (the lack of) mask usage.