Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred...
by dragonwriter on Wednesday August 25, 2021 @12:26PM
(#28303619)
> In other words, these counties can only change states if they're able to get 320 million people to sign off on the change.
Huh? They need:
(1) a simple majority of each legislative house in Idaho, which is 18+36=54 people
(2) a simple majority of each legislative house in Colorado, which is 18+33=51 people, and
(3) a simple majority of each House of Congress, which is 51+218=269 people
for a total of 269+54+51=374 people. Your 320 million estimate is off by about 6 orders of magnitude.
(Even if you make the rather unrrasonable assumption that they need to convince enough unique voters to guarantee the election of a sufficient majority in each involved legislature—i.e., you assume that every eligible voter treats every Idaho, Colorado, and federal legislative election as a single issue referendum on the issue—you’ll find that the number is a very small fraction of the ~240 million eligible voters in the US.)
Huh? They need:
(1) a simple majority of each legislative house in Idaho, which is 18+36=54 people
(2) a simple majority of each legislative house in Colorado, which is 18+33=51 people, and
(3) a simple majority of each House of Congress, which is 51+218=269 people
for a total of 269+54+51=374 people. Your 320 million estimate is off by about 6 orders of magnitude.
(Even if you make the rather unrrasonable assumption that they need to convince enough unique voters to guarantee the election of a sufficient majority in each involved legislature—i.e., you assume that every eligible voter treats every Idaho, Colorado, and federal legislative election as a single issue referendum on the issue—you’ll find that the number is a very small fraction of the ~240 million eligible voters in the US.)