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Re:Noted study in psychology fails to replicate, crumbles wi... by mensetmanusman on Sunday August 22, 2021 @08:43AM (#28265014)
What if humans were generally so unique that there were no useful generalizations in psychology. (E.g every attempt at an experiment like this was just noise)

How would that affect the field?

Re:Noted study in psychology fails to replicate, crumbles wi... by sennight on Sunday August 22, 2021 @09:47AM (#28265423)
It would probably focus on measuring the degree to which individuals differ, assigning explanatory variables, and figuring out the theoretical maximum (as brain chemistry sets a pretty hard limit). But that doesn't really matter, because we know that people can very easily be generalized - there is an entire industry devoted to it: advertising. Many years ago I had to design a process to pre-stage inventory based on expected demand - using historical data from a fairly inelastic customer base. It was spooky how accurately a Poisson distribution could predict long tailed events - but only after segmenting the customer base into something like 5 groups. This was for millions of people - 5 groups.
Re:Noted study in psychology fails to replicate, crumbles wi... by mensetmanusman on Sunday August 22, 2021 @11:03AM (#28266041)
Makes sense for consumer behavior since there are a finite set of purchase choices. Things like ethics and behavior choices are fuzzy though…
Re:Noted study in psychology fails to replicate, crumbles wi... by sennight on Sunday August 22, 2021 @11:49AM (#28266427)
> behavior choices

I really wish this weren't the case, but "choice" isn't a thing - as far as anyone can tell. All the complexity on display in the world appears to be a result of feedback loops, it really doesn't take much to generate a continuous low interval stream of pseudo random feedback - predictable after enough observation. People who regularly purchase chunky peanut butter and cat litter have a significantly higher probability of driving a VW bug. That isn't the result of limited alternatives.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear-feedback_shift_register