Re:Vaccination blunts, but does not defeat Delta
by smt88 on Tuesday August 17, 2021 @12:00AM
(#28206096)
You're correct that it's possible for vaccines to be distributed in a way that promotes mutations[1]. You're also correct that there are many factors, including number of times the virus replicates and also selective pressure.
At this point, it looks like our mRNA vaccines:
- leave a short enough window between doses to minimize mutations
- reduce viral load within a vaccinated person[2]
- prevent many transmissions entirely[3][4][5]
...which, added all up, appears to net out the way you'd expect: the vaccine reduces the risk of mutations.
1. https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/10/9659409...
2. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-021-01316-7
3. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-br...
4. https://www.physiciansweekly.com/covid-19-breakthrough-infec...
5. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-crucial-vacci...
To make an analogy, does spraying every surface in a hospital with an antibacterial solution result in no bacteria or just make it more likely to see resistant bacteria? I’d guess it’s a function of how potent the solution was and how well every last surface was coated. If you start with a 10% solution, don’t achieve full coverage and keep ramping up slowly perhaps we’ll just see something like this: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=plVk4NVIUh8
Agree with the rest of your post though.