Bernard Woolley : What if the Prime Minister insists we help them?
Sir Humphrey Appleby : Then we follow the four-stage strategy.
Bernard Woolley : What's that?
Sir Richard Wharton : Standard Foreign Office response in a time of crisis.
Sir Richard Wharton : In stage one we say nothing is going to happen.
Sir Humphrey Appleby : Stage two, we say something may be about to happen, but we should do nothing about it.
Sir Richard Wharton : In stage three, we say that maybe we should do something about it, but there's nothing we can do.
Sir Humphrey Appleby : Stage four, we say maybe there was something we could have done, but it's too late now.
Nothing to see here since nothing has happened yet, after it happens it's too late to do anything about it. Oops!
Sad I guess, but not unexpected any more.
Looks like that was a bad assumption.
I hope history doesn’t repeat itself completely :(
https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Agreement-F...
Pretty much every point in section 2 pre-supposes that the Taliban will control all of Afghanistan, from domestic security to issuing visas.
4 days ago, US intelligence officials revised their estimate for the fall of Kabul from 12 to 3 months.
https://archive.ph/14OGH
AUG 13: “Kabul is not in an imminent threat.” - John Kirby, Pentagon Spokesman
AUG 15: Kabul taken by Taliban.
https://twitter.com/MrsT106/status/1426936592573284353