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Re:Game Theory Take On - Washington’s Rogue Elephants by erikb on Wednesday July 27, 2011 @08:15AM (#2811775)
Giving oponents a reasonable percentage of irrational behaviour is actually a normal thing in game theory. Game theory doesn't stop to apply because someone on this planet acts irrational to gain an advantage. I like to think more in terms of finding the rationale behind the "irrational behaviour". That the truthfully out of mind elephant acts this way because the cost of a failure really doesn't matter to him at that moment. If u don't care about the losses, maximising the win percantage actually is quite rational. And in a game of chicken the best chances of winning are of course if you really don't stop, ever. The only reason why most people stop before the crash, is that they worry about the cost of a failure might be bigger to them then the possible win of a success.
Re:Game Theory Take On - Washington’s Rogue Elephants by ars on Wednesday July 27, 2011 @09:05AM (#2811930)
That's, by definition, not irrational behavior.

It would be better called "nothing to loose behavior", but of course in the real world that's pretty rare, and certainly does not apply to the politicians in the current situation.

Re:Game Theory Take On - Washington’s Rogue Elephants by erikb on Wednesday July 27, 2011 @12:21PM (#2812816)
Agreed, if they threaten something like a nuclear bombing. Let's think about another situation: At a family party there is one piece of cake left and 2 people want to eat it. Both people recognise the interest of the other one and try to offer it to the other one, but both now don't try to take it in fear of losing face. In some way you can also apply a chicken game situation here. Or another example: 2 gay men sit in a bar, see each other and consider the other one attractive. They look at each other and smile at each other. But who should make the first step? (Had to take 2 equal partners, with woman and man it is too likely that culture expects the man to act) In both situation neither the price nor the cost is that high, that relatively(!), extrem actions (like being actively impolite, or just sit there and wait in the bar until the other one makes the move) can and should be expected. I'm not into politics that much, that I could give meaningful examples there, but I think according to the situation and threats each party makes, it happens more often then you might think with just these high stakes situations in mind.