On the other hand, it's a single guy challenging the conventional wisdom we hear pervasively from the prestige media with some very simple, obvious reasoning and basic data. He deserves some credit for that.

I have not seen this reported anywhere in the media, could you share some links?

Data from Feb. 2021: [1] Note that the sample is from Los Angeles County, CA only.

Later data from US Census Bureau surveys.[2] While the Census Bureau did not summarize vaccine hesitation, race, and educational level, they offer downloads of the entire data set of poll replies. (192MB, CSV format), so you can do that yourself. Next data set available August 11th. Good project for big data people.

[1] https://news.usc.edu/182848/education-covid-19-vaccine-safet...

[2] https://public.tableau.com/views/HouseholdPulseSurveyCovid-1...

> I would guess that awareness of the Tuskegee Experiment and black history more generally is greater among those with higher education than those with lower education. If this guess is right...

He's starting with an assumption that disregards any factors that could make the hypothesis he's trying to disprove correct, and so of course the statistics come out in his favor.

If you read the post, he actually starts with a couple simple observations that show why the theory is ridiculous.

It's a very short post. About a two minute read. No guesswork needed about assumptions he's making, you can just read the post for yourself.

I've read the post. I'm not guessing at the assumptions he's making, I'm saying they're ridiculous. He had six paragraphs, and somehow completely lost the thread halfway through.

Agreed. Although the article does state that it is the same for other racial groups.

It would also be helpful if he didn't limit it to people aged 30-50. What do the rates look like outside of this band?