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Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @11:58AM (#27973953)
He's saying the definition of cases in 'actual science' vs 'the media' is different.

Not a shocker that the media would sensationalize things.

Science and PCR amplification... has a much looser definition with the possibility for much more false positives with such small number of cycles of amplification.

It was done ostensibly for cautionary purposes but the media seized on it and painted red death map visualizations for people to see with inflated death counts.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by javagram on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @05:39PM (#27977987)
> red death map visualizations for people to see with inflated death counts.

There is no indication of inflated death counts. Death counts from covid correlate closely with excess deaths.

Some have claimed that deaths did rise but because of lockdowns, however in “locked down” regions where reported Covid cases and deaths were low, so were excess deaths.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @06:44PM (#27978538)
If you inflate infections, you are therefore are also inflating deaths, it's a 1 to X correlation.
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by javagram on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @01:02AM (#27980419)
Wrong, all-cause death statistics are tracked separately from infections. See for instance https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @08:46AM (#27983082)
How does reporting things that have nothing to do with covid separately have anything to do with it?

Cause of illness is linked to cause of death and they will track proportionally.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by javagram on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @11:26AM (#27984940)
You can see that covid-19 related deaths aren’t “inflated” by comparing the numbers to excess deaths and seeing they correlate (not just nationally, but by region and time).

When 100,000 people are reported to die of covid in the USA or another western country with a high quality reporting system, in the same region and time around 100,000 more deaths from any cause are recorded than would normally be expected. Therefore, there’s no reason to believe the covid-19 deaths are inflated (the “with covid not from covid” theory).

Edit: see for instance https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/core/lw/2.0/html/tileshop_pmc/t... which is visually quite striking. Figure found in https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7852240/

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @11:54AM (#27985293)
Ah that's interesting. Thanks for sharing. Here's a good visualization as well. That looks pretty indisputable.

https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid

"The raw death count helps give us a sense of scale: for example, the US suffered roughly 360,000 more deaths than the five-year average between 26 January and 3 October 2020, compared to 209,000 confirmed COVID-19 deaths during that period."

The Covid death counts may be correct or a even little lower than expected then.

Further confirms my thoughts that I would not like to be an 80 year old with two co-morbidities around Covid.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by pwinnski on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @01:30PM (#27986506)
So you quote an eight-month figure, ignoring the nearly-nine months since then, and still cling to your narrative even when presented with facts that directly contradict your earlier assertions. Okay.

Try some math: 360,000 deaths higher than average over 251 days is 1434 excess deaths per day. From Oct 4 through yesterday is another 296 days, and 1434x296=424,464, so we're talking about a scale of around 780,000, which very much supports the total US COVID death count of 627,370.

If you think that's all 80-year-olds with multiple pre-existing conditions, and that you therefore have nothing to worry about, then I hope for your sake and the sake of those around you that you aren't proven wrong by an ICU stay.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @03:29PM (#27988565)
????

Read my comment again.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by ssully on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @12:18PM (#27974213)
I understand that. But I would hardly call it sensationalizing. It's a mixture of the best of what we had at the time (others have posted talking about how the tests have changed/improved), and the fact that reporting on things in a simple and straight forward manner is hard because people simply don't have the time, or don't give a shit about nuance.
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by mistermann on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @12:43PM (#27974525)
I suspect that a pattern of not disclosing that statistics that are implied to be factual are actually to some degree ~estimates contributed to the extreme level of polarization over "facts" and "the science", as well as the increasing distrust of the media. Sure, most people don't consider these things too logically, but then if those distributing the facts can't be bothered either, how shall we accurately assign blame for the final outcome?
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by kook_throwaway on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @02:20PM (#27975693)
>how shall we accurately assign blame for the final outcome?

That's a feature not a bug.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @09:57AM (#27983793)
Whose to blame for 60,000 people dying in Vietnam?

Whose to blame for Lobotomies winning the Nobel Prize?

Whose to blame for Thalidomide being widely distributed?

Almost anything can be passed off as legitimate without accountability with a concerted effort by 'authorities' and the 'news media', it's even worse in the modern short attention span news cycle.

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by mistermann on Thursday July 29, 2021 @03:01PM (#28000079)
The true (accurate/correct) multi-dimensional causality is unknown.
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by shadowgovt on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @10:23AM (#27984140)
Who's to blame for 600,000 dead in the United States?
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @11:39AM (#27985100)
The average death is 80 years old with two comorbidies so....the natural cycle of life?
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by shadowgovt on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @11:49AM (#27985222)
There's nothing natural about dying from COVID-19, except in the broadest of definitions of "natural" (i.e. the definition that we developed technology to minimize, control, and avoid).
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @12:59PM (#27986061)
I don't know how you define Natural.
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by shadowgovt on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @01:36PM (#27986617)
It's a good question and definitions vary. My working, broadest definition is "That which exists / that which occurs if humans do not use their intellect and ability to cause something else to exist / happen."

Starvation is natural. Death by predator is natural. Death due to exposure is natural. Death due to disease is natural. Tornadoes are natural. A biosphere-disrupting asteroid impact is natural. There are other things that are natural that are positives too, but it's good, I think, to keep in mind that "natural" doesn't always imply "good."

Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by nickthemagicman on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @01:41PM (#27975255)
It's looking like the reported numbers may be over-estimated by one or more orders of magnitude....that's the definition of sensational.
Re:Over half of Covid hospitalisations tested positive after... by pwinnski on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @01:45PM (#27986819)
This is completely contrary to what "excess death" statistics suggest, which is that we might be under-counting COVID deaths by quite a bit. We've had many more unexpected excess deaths in 2020 and 2021 than can be explained by the official COVID death counts, so it's highly possible that some COVID-caused deaths aren't being recorded as such.

It could be that a bit more than 625,000 people have died in the US due to COVID. Or it could be higher than that, and it may be a couple of years before we know for sure. It's not lower, though. Not at all.