My thoughts are similar. It’s possible to make high quality, kinda-native-feeling PWAs, but that definitely doesn’t come for “free”. In fact it takes a level of attention to detail and craftsmanship that frankly few developers seem willing or capable of, whether that’s due to indifference on behalf of the developer or management riding their ass pushing them to ship sooner.

So the most likely outcome is that the average PWA would be less pleasant to use than the average app, which is a pretty clear cut loss for users.