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Re:Word gap: When money’s tight, parents talk less to kids by ALittleLight on Sunday July 18, 2021 @08:32PM (#27878039)
This quiz will let you test how accurate you are at predicting which psych papers replicated or not. Last time I took it, I think I was at 8 or 9 out of 10. I think something close to 50% of such papers don't replicate - so it's probably a reasonable prior to just assume any given social psychology study won't replicate.

https://80000hours.org/psychology-replication-quiz/

Re:Word gap: When money’s tight, parents talk less to kids by h0l0cube on Sunday July 18, 2021 @09:30PM (#27878329)
> so it's probably a reasonable prior to just assume any given social psychology study won't replicate

I'd pay that. Though in this case it's not people reading the paper, but reading the article about the paper. (On reading the paper, the findings are less conclusive than the click-baity headline, but that's almost always the case)