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Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by umanwizard on Thursday July 15, 2021 @09:20PM (#27852100)
> there was an attempted coup in the US

No there wasn’t. A rowdy protest is not “an attempted coup”. All actual institutions behaved according to the law.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by anigbrowl on Thursday July 15, 2021 @11:38PM (#27852835)
No less a person than the Chairman of the joint chiefs is said to have thought otherwise. You may find this historical comparison of interest: https://johnganz.substack.com/p/feb-6-1934jan-6-2021
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by inlikealamb on Friday July 16, 2021 @12:00AM (#27852928)
Just because they were bad at it doesn't mean they didn't try.

Here's a list:

* Breaking into congress

* Carrying flags representing a rival (dead) government

* While wearing tactical gear, some carrying blunt objects, handcuffs, mace

* Stealing computers and documents

* Searching for congresspeople

* Killing a police officer, beating others

Not to mention they were doing it while Congress was meant to be counting electoral votes.

What else do you need to make it a coup attempt? Is competence a requirement?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by exporectomy on Friday July 16, 2021 @03:47AM (#27853884)
Apply the criteria for criminal attempted crimes. You have to do more than just attempt it, you have to have a realistic possibility of succeeding.

Sticking pins in a voodoo doll isn't attempted murder, no matter how seriously you believe it will kill the person.

So how would that event in the US have succeeded in overthrowing the government? What would the next steps have been? Even if they killed everyone in the building, would the rest of the government/military/courts/etc. agree to follow orders from the new kings? Why?

By the way, they didn't kill that police officer. It turned out later that he died of natural causes. Be careful of fake embellishments of real news.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ben_w on Friday July 16, 2021 @04:05AM (#27853969)
The boundary between what is factually impossible and legally impossible with regard to “attempted $crime” is not one that I, a non-lawyer, would be comfortable asserting: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impossibility_defense
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ModernMech on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:31AM (#27856601)
> So how would that event in the US have succeeded in overthrowing the government? What would the next steps have been? Even if they killed everyone in the building, would the rest of the government/military/courts/etc. agree to follow orders from the new kings? Why?

Here's how it would work:

The process for electing the president is that states certify their electoral college votes in what's known as the Certificate of the Vote. On 1/6 the certificates are counted and objections are raised. It takes one Senator and one Representative to raise an objection in writing, and Republicans had planned on objecting to Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan at least. Objections are settled by voting in the House and Senate. Each chamber gets a vote, and if they agree the objection is sustained and the votes discarded. If they are split or disagree, the objection is overturned. Democrats had a majority in the House while Republicans had a majority in the Senate, so this would have went in favor of Joe Biden.

To succeed then, the Republicans needed to get outside of the regular Constitutional order. Their main objective on 1/6 was to delay the certification past that day. There is no precedent for this. At first Trump wanted Pence to simply refuse to certify the vote and then force the GOP friendly states to "recertify" their results. Trump only needed a few states to recertify to win. But Pence refused to do this, hence the chants of "Hang Mike Pence".

However, the invasion of the Capitol gave new life to this idea of recertification. The hope here was that if the proceedings were disrupted, we were in uncharted Constitutional territory. This would have given additional time for Trump to try and twist the arm of the various states, as he had been doing before 1/6 to the states of Arizona and Georgia (at least).

Once the states recertified their votes, they would have reconvened the Congress and VP to certify the election. This puts the Democrats in a tough spot. They could have let the "recertified" results stand, in which case Trump would win. Or they could object. If they did, then the Republicans could also object. This would throw the recertified votes out.

But here's the catch. If no candidate has 270 electoral college votes after the counting, then the matter is put before the House, but not in the normal way. Instead, each state delegation gets 1 vote, for a total of 50, with 26 to win. State delegations are decided by the states, and Republicans would have a 26-23 majority in this scenario (PA would have tied, if they don't agree their vote doesn't count). The House would then vote for Trump, and he could have been President despite losing the popular vote and the electoral college.

There's a lot that needed to go right for Trump for this to work, and that's why it didn't. But it went a lot further than it should have, and definitely broke a 240 year streak of peaceful transitions of power in the US. In fact, it seems like the only reason the vote was able to be certified on 1/6 is because Mike Pence refused to leave the Capitol with the Secret Service. Had he left with them when they wanted him to, the proceedings would have been delayed indefinitely.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by exporectomy on Monday July 19, 2021 @01:29AM (#27879562)
All of that is just using the existing legal systems, isn't it? If it succeeded that way, it would have been a clever legal trick and not a coup. If it was illegal, then it wouldn't have been recognized by anyone else any more than a random person declaring himself to be president, would it?
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by inlikealamb on Friday July 16, 2021 @01:40PM (#27858891)
The voodoo doll seems like a weird example to use, these people weren't sitting in their houses imagining it. They literally broke into congress in search of congresspeople, you can watch videos and hear people say "where are they"... they went to their offices and congressional chambers to find them...

Analogies aside, if you don't think it was an attempted coup... what would it have made it one? I'm legitimately curious (I don't think incompetence is an excuse, and courts usually don't either).

Thanks for pointing out the disparity about Sicknick. To anyone else who isn't aware... the autopsy determined he died from a stroke the day after. These people still assaulted police officers to gain access to the Capitol.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by anticodon on Friday July 16, 2021 @03:00AM (#27853676)
It's funny considering how USA intensely finance and prepare coups and revolutions all over the world. I'm from one ex-USSR country and living in another ex-USSR country. It happened several times right in front of my eyes.

USA funds several media outlets so that they publish a precisely mixed mash of truth and lies. People mindlessly consume the mash and start to get a feeling they live in an imperfect society that can be very easily improved ("just get rid of your current president and you'll start living awesome life the same moment! it's so easy, folks! no other effort required").

Then they start publishing a real recipes for starting a turmoil (via figures like notoriously known Navalny).

Then, when the coup fails, USA start pressuring: "It's an agression against democracy! It was a peaceful protest! Sanctions! Sanctions! Sanctions!" (if the coup succeeds, the only result is that people start living in worse conditions - check Arab Spring countries or any other country where color revolution succeeded - they're doing much worse economically and in all other areas of life, including "democracy").

When the protest which was much milder happened in the US itself, it's suddenly "totally different thing".

BTW, just this week mercenaries from USA trained in USA killed president of Haiti.

What a bunch of hypocrites...

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by inlikealamb on Friday July 16, 2021 @01:47PM (#27859001)
It's technically a different thing because this attempted coup was domestic, and I don't think the whattaboutism accomplishes much... there's no hypocritical rhetoric in the thread you're replying to.

The US has certainly inflicted coups abroad, and I also disagree with those... but I suspect you weren't commenting to get my opinion on the matter.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by phkahler on Thursday July 15, 2021 @09:51PM (#27852264)
>> A rowdy protest is not “an attempted coup”.

Oh is this referring to the so called "insurection"? That was like a mild protest compared to other recent ones.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by swader999 on Friday July 16, 2021 @01:13AM (#27853217)
The only ones creating trouble were the fbi informants that were there as agitators. Why haven't these people been charged yet? The rest were let and even motioned in. They took a tour and left peacefully when asked.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by CyberDildonics on Friday July 16, 2021 @03:27PM (#27860210)
Please tell me this is supposed to be a joke and that you don't seriously think this, given the ocean of literal video evidence out there.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by swader999 on Friday July 16, 2021 @05:58PM (#27861710)
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by CyberDildonics on Sunday July 18, 2021 @02:14PM (#27875101)
You made one true claim and two ridiculous claims. Then you give evidence for only the one that has been established. Was it FBI informants crushing capitol police against doors and beating them on the ground?