“For as soon as the distribution of labour comes into being, each man has a particular, exclusive sphere of activity, which is forced upon him and from which he cannot escape.
He is a hunter, a fisherman, a herdsman, or a critical critic, and must remain so if he does not want to lose his means of livelihood; while in communist society, where nobody has one exclusive sphere of activity but each can become accomplished in any branch he wishes, society regulates the general production and thus makes it possible for me to do one thing today and another tomorrow, to hunt in the morning, fish in the afternoon, rear cattle in the evening, criticise after dinner, just as I have a mind, without ever becoming hunter, fisherman, herdsman or critic.”
"A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyse a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects."
-- Robert Heinlein
Improved decision making quality or not, wards with a nurse on call still need 20% more nurses. And there's absolutely no way a driver is delivering 20% more stuff in four 8 hour days to make up for being absent for the fifth. And most of the "place needs a person to be on call for this shift" type jobs are the hardest to automate
In addition to automation for jobs where attention and reason doesn’t contribute to success (which is how you’re describing nursing and driving; I of course disagree), there will still be a market for hourly pay and people who really enjoy and are suited to overtime, as well as other factors. The transition is complex.
It may seem strange to think of a nurse or driver being more useful when contributing 30 hours a week instead of 40, but that’s because we don’t appreciate the potential range of their decision making quality, error rate, and so on.
In the long run, too, any job we don’t want to see become higher paid and more effective, we will want to see be eliminated or automated. So the effective pay increase would not uniformly drag on GDP across many industries.