Re:Corona Game: A simulation of how Covid-19 spreads
by nradov on Thursday July 08, 2021 @10:40AM
(#27772538)
Trust has nothing to do with it. Based on seroprevalence studies and other factors the CDC has estimated that only about a quarter of infections were officially counted as "cases". The undercounting was even worse early in the pandemic when tests were hardly available. So your point is not valid.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...
Re:Corona Game: A simulation of how Covid-19 spreads
by zibzab on Thursday July 08, 2021 @12:55PM
(#27774692)
But that's US statistics, this happened in asmall area in Northern Italy.
Even if we go with your numbers, we get an average of 4-5% and since we know there was a huge spike in the middle of the outbreak it is not unrealistic to assume they were above 10% at some point.
Anyway, the effect of failing to "fallten the curve" in Lombardy are well documented. And this happened in December 2019 before we had a global pandemic.