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A comment on The Shortest Possible Game of Monopoly (2010). Parent comment

Re:The Shortest Possible Game of Monopoly (2010) by Jyaif on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:48PM (#27337686)
Well played! And this strategy is actually easy to execute.

The probability for executing this strategy is: P(3)+P(5)+P(6)+P(8)+P(9)+P(11)+P(12) * P(4).

Plug in the numbers from https://statweb.stanford.edu/~susan/courses/s60/split/node65...

(0.0556+0.1111+0.1389+0.1389+0.1111+0.0556+0.278)*0.0833 = 0.07407036

So 7.4%.

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Re:The Shortest Possible Game of Monopoly (2010) by sokoloff on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:26PM (#27338009)
Times the probability that player 2 decides to bid all of their cash for a single property…
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Re:The Shortest Possible Game of Monopoly (2010) by treeman79 on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:42PM (#27338156)
I could see my kids easily getting into a bidding war.
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Re:The Shortest Possible Game of Monopoly (2010) by lisper on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:59PM (#27338289)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dollar_auction

https://freakonomics.com/2008/12/16/an-all-pay-auction/

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