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Re:Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care before Covid-19 outb... by mytailorisrich on Monday May 24, 2021 @09:50AM (#27264335)
> 1st response to CoVID occurrence was certainly in Wuhan

> The closest wild strain of CoVID happens in bats living thousand kilometres from Wuhan

That's weak evidence to claim that the lab hypothesis is more likely or even just to claim that the virus in humans originates from Wuhan.

Wuhan is a transport hub within China. In relation to dates it might be worth taking into account that hundreds of millions of Chinese travel around the country in early October and that the outbreak in Wuhan was detected in November/December. Coincidence? maybe, maybe not.

Additionally, we can also look at SARS (i.e. SARS-Cov-1, while Covid-19 is SARS-Cov-2): That epidemic started with an outbreak in Guangdong province in November 2002 (again, note the relative proximity with early October). Since then the origin of the virus has been traced to a colony of bats in Yunnan province [1] (perhaps also worth noting that this took 15 years). If you look at the map that is quite far away (1000+ km) and domestic transport networks have vastly improved since then.

Based on this, I don't see why the exact same scenario as the beginning of SARS would not be the more likely explanation.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndr...

Re:Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care before Covid-19 outb... by IG_Semmelweiss on Monday May 24, 2021 @11:11AM (#27265265)
"taking into account that hundreds of millions of Chinese travel around"

Problem with that assertion is that knowing what we know today about the virus, this should have generated superspreader event situations along the travel path, which would have transported the virus to other locations in china.

Instead the opposite happened, and china tried to contain the virus to wuhan.

Re:Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care before Covid-19 outb... by mytailorisrich on Monday May 24, 2021 @11:20AM (#27265392)
Did that happen with SARS?

It's not obvious to me that superspreading events should have happened along the way.

Re:Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care before Covid-19 outb... by rorykoehler on Monday May 24, 2021 @03:57PM (#27268968)
SARS isn’t nearly as contagious.