News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by TheAlchemist on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @05:17PM (#27214567)
I too believe it's a massive ponzi scheme.

However, I wasn't even aware (not trading crypto at all) that Binance offer 'affiliate' programs where influencers can earn Tethers. It's kind of funny - it works literally like a ponzi scheme - influencers bring in new 'investors' and earn 'tethers' (which are just printed out of thin air) - they can buy crypto with those tethers - and then guess what ? They sell them to the new 'investors' they just brought in.

It works until it doesn't.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by dheera on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @05:51PM (#27214982)
I mean, Bitcoin is printed out of thin air as well. Just because you compute some hashes you can get something that people value at $40K?

It's not that different than if we had a "cat picture" coin that anyone with a cat could manufacture cat pictures at will and sell them.

Granted Bitcoin is a little bit more governed in terms of technical difficulty and cryptographic security, but that doesn't change the fact that it's printed out of thin air in a decentralized fashion.

If I developed some hardware in secret that could mine Bitcoin 10X faster, there would be nothing illegal about using it to my advantage. If I had a hypothetical device that could print it 1000X faster, I could do that too. Maybe I do. You wouldn't know if I did.

Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme as well.

That $1T market cap of Bitcoin? Was there really $1T USD put into it? I don't think so.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by TheAlchemist on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:05PM (#27215130)
You can't just 'create' a Bitcoin out of thin air and say - hi guys, here is my Bitcoin.

But a private entity (based in Bahamas) can do that with Tether. And you can use those to buy 'real' Bitcoins. It works perfectly until somebody tries to convert a big enough amount of those Tethers to real USD.

In real world, I'm not sure it's a very good example, so feel free to challenge it, would be:

- somebody prints perfect fake 100$ bills and floods the market with them

- prices of real goods go up significantly

- at one point somebody notice that those fake dollars have a small red dot in a corner

- they become instantly worthless, and all prices crash as there is suddenly much less real dollars than everybody thought

It's not a great analogy as there is nobody guaranteeing the conversion of those fake dollars to true dollars in the first place. Tether pretends to be doing that - but it appears more and more that they are just printing them out of thin air.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by dheera on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:14PM (#27215220)
> You can't just 'create' a Bitcoin out of thin air and say - hi guys, here is my Bitcoin.

Sure you can. If your "counterfeit miner" secretly works 1000X faster than the miners everyone uses, you can still most certainly say "here is my Bitcoin" and it will be usable.

If the hashes you generate are indistinguishable from the hashes generated by an AntMiner, you have made Bitcoin out of thin air.

Yes, creating such a "counterfeit miner" would involve technological feats. But that shouldn't be the deciding factor here. It's still a PoW coin and assuming you are a super-powered genius hardware inventor with an insanely advanced lab, you can do the work much more efficiently without anyone knowing. And the coins would be actually legal to use.

Which is VASTLY different from USD in that if you have a secret lab to create USD bills that are indistinguishable from the real thing, it's still illegal.

With Bitcoin, it's still decentralized, i.e. printed out of thin air. If the coins you generate work with the system, they're legal and valid, it doesn't matter how you generate them or how much work you really did.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by bidirectional on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:27PM (#27215344)
If you had such a miner, you would be awarded a large proportion of the coins mined in the future. These coins are part of the 21 million capped supply of Bitcoin, and this would not be secret as everyone would be able to see your activity. All you will do is speed up the rate at which the cap of Bitcoin is reached. No unlimited printing is possible.

I have no idea where 'counterfeit miner' even comes into this. If you're the best at mining, you get the most coins. That's not controversial, it's a decentralised system, who would even be deeming you counterfeit? Were the first ASICs 'counterfeit'?

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by dheera on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:31PM (#27215376)
> If you're the best at mining, you get the most coins

Exactly, so I'm demonstrating that Bitcoins are printed out of thin air by doing some arithmetic. The fact that a concept of "counterfeit" doesn't even exist demonstrates that ALL of them are printed out of thin air. You don't need to pan for gold, you don't need to save a kitten, nothing. All you need is to punch some numbers into a GPU or ASIC and voila you have thin air printed Bitcoin.

As opposed to USD, where the person who has the most coins isn't the one who can print a physical dollar bill most efficiently. There is a notion of counterfeit, there is centralized governance, and thin air printing is not allowed at the threat of arrest by that governance.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by bidirectional on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:44PM (#27215467)
If there's a hard 21 million coin limit, I don't really see it as 'out of thin air'. There are 21 million Bitcoins that have and will ever exist. It's no more printing from thin air than pulling gold from the ground is.

Besides, why is panning for gold or saving a kitten fundamentally any different? A difficult physical process must take place, the fact it happens to be digital does not make it magic, despite how complex these devices may seem.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by kmonsen on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:38PM (#27215423)
Well if you are much, much better at mining you can just fork it and take all the bitcoin? A side effect of this is you only need to be much better at mining for a short time.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:31PM (#27215375)
> > You can't just 'create' a Bitcoin out of thin air and say - hi guys, here is my Bitcoin.

> Sure you can. If your "counterfeit miner" secretly works 1000X faster than the miners everyone uses

You can in theory but not in practice. The person you're responding to was talking about practice, not theory. Practice is what matters in this case.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by viraptor on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:01PM (#27215093)
People like to say Ponzi scheme, but that's got a specific meaning. Having secret hardware which can mine it faster is not it. Being worth more money than was put in is not it. (Otherwise almost every stock market ticker would be a Ponzi scheme)
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by yqe78 on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:22PM (#27215292)
I’m amused that you expect someone who openly thinks money is a joke to grasp the subtleties of what constitutes a Ponzi scheme.

I know Ponzi schemes are bad. I think your money is bad. Therefore, your money is a Ponzi scheme. That’s the entirety of the logic employed by the comparison.

Just wait until you hear what they’ve done with the term “market capitalization”.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by dheera on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:41PM (#27215445)
Ponzi schemes mathematically just reduce to a lottery with slightly better odds than most lotteries.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by gruez on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @05:49PM (#27214952)
Is there a meaningful difference between them paying the influencers in USDT compared to paying them in USD? It doesn't seem hard to convert the USDT to USD at par so I can't see the difference.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by kemonocode on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:11PM (#27215187)
The difference is, of course, that exchanges want to encourage liquidity in USDT and they might not have the means to offer USD, especially if they're based in regions with tighter regulations so bank wires are out of the question. Just because they can convert USDT to USD doesn't necessarily mean they can offer the same means to everybody else.

Even the staunchest believer in crypto will have a hunch there's something funny going on with Tether, but so far most people have been willing to look the other way as Tether and other stablecoins answer a genuine need: how to represent fiat money in the crypto ecosystem when centralized banks refuse to play along with their own downfall.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by bb88 on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @07:28PM (#27215726)
> how to represent fiat money in the crypto ecosystem when centralized banks refuse to play along with their own downfall.

It seems to me the crypto folks on one hand complain about the governance of USD, but then also "need" it to stabilize their own currency. I thought crypto was the currency of the future.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by gruez on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:24PM (#27215311)
> The difference is, of course, that exchanges want to encourage liquidity in USDT and they might not have the means to offer USD, especially if they're based in regions with tighter regulations so bank wires are out of the question. Just because they can convert USDT to USD doesn't necessarily mean they can offer the same means to everybody else.

1. is paying influencers USDT going to increase liquidity or decrease it? From a maker-taker model, I'd think that will decrease liquidity because those influencers are probably going to place a market order which reduces liquidity.

2. Is the typical influencers (or the average influencer they hired) going to have trouble converting USDT to USD? My profile of them would be 18-35 year old, middle to upper class, living in a developed country (or at least not a country that's subject to USD sanctions). It doesn't seem hard for those people to accept a USD wire transfer.

>Even the staunchest believer in crypto will have a hunch there's something funny going on with Tether, but so far most people have been willing to look the other way as Tether and other stablecoins answer a genuine need: how to represent fiat money in the crypto ecosystem when centralized banks refuse to play along with their own downfall.

Agreed, I avoid holding USDT where possible.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by throayobviousl on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:00PM (#27215085)
>Is there a meaningful difference between them paying the influencers in USDT compared to paying them in USD?

Yes. You print USDT and pay someone then lie about not printing it.

For the love of god, don't hold any USDT. Its really convenient to exchange cryptos but don't be holding it when the cards fall.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by gruez on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:10PM (#27215176)
So the following is okay:

1. bitfinex asks some influencer to do some influencer things for them

2. bitfinex hands them a $100 bill

but the following isn't fine:

2. bitfinex hands them 100 USDT tokens

But hold on, corporations don't often pay people using paper bills, they pay them using ACH, so is the following fine?

2. bitfinex transfers $100 to their bank using ACH

Probably fine right, given that there isn't really a difference between getting paid in ACH vs paper bills. But some companies are old fashioned and don't do ACH transfers, they issue checks instead. So is the following fine?

2. bitfinex writes them a check for $100

Well, a check is just an IOU right? It's only a promise to pay them something. If you try to deposit the check and the check bounces it's not like the FDIC will save you. You'll have to chase after them for it. Given that fact, and recognizing that USDT is just an IOU, is there any difference between the above and

2. bitfinex gives them 100 USDT tokens

?

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by belltaco on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @08:58PM (#27216229)
It's a crime to write bad checks. That's what the article is all about.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by kmonsen on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:36PM (#27215416)
Hmm, was writing a longer answer to you, but ended up agreeing without expecting to.

Bitfinex could either issue some USDT, convert it to USD and hand that to the influencer, or issue some USDT and hand that to the influencer. Can't really see the difference here, except if they hand over USDT that will hype the market a bit as well? As long as the conversion works they two are functionally the same.

Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by fbernier on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @09:13PM (#27216304)
They control the issuance of USDT, something they can't do with USD. They sure hope influencers don't immediately convert it to USD and buy other bitcoin or other cryptos with it instead. That way, they keep the USD and the influencer helps pumping the price.
Re:The Tether Ponzi Scheme by dheera on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @06:38PM (#27215428)
If I were that influencer I would cash the check and then provide services.

Same with USDT. Cash it for Bitcoin and then provide services.