Re:Dissolving the Fermi Paradox
by jk7tarYZAQNpTQa on Wednesday May 19, 2021 @07:54AM
(#27207341)
> We're extremely unsure how often abiogenesis happens
Lacking any credentials on the subject whatsoever, and based on what (little) I know about abiogenesis, intuition tells me it happens with a probability of 1, if (and here's the key) the conditions are right, and given enough time. (A fun corollary of this is that intelligent life also happens with a probability of 1, under proper conditions [1]).
So, we just need to find how many planets have had the right conditions for a long enough period of time.
[1] p(abiogenesis)=1 + "evolution is a universal law" => p(intelligent_life)=1
Lacking any credentials on the subject whatsoever, and based on what (little) I know about abiogenesis, intuition tells me it happens with a probability of 1, if (and here's the key) the conditions are right, and given enough time. (A fun corollary of this is that intelligent life also happens with a probability of 1, under proper conditions [1]).
So, we just need to find how many planets have had the right conditions for a long enough period of time.
[1] p(abiogenesis)=1 + "evolution is a universal law" => p(intelligent_life)=1