Obviously a large part of that is the boom in tech so I don’t know how reasonably those people could have become doctors or air traffic controllers with their famously long start up time and forced retirement ages respectively.
The more interesting cohort for me would be 25-35 year olds (with special emphasis on females) wondering if it would be enough to convince large swathes of new parents not in professional track careers to exit the workforce and care for their own children instead of using daycare. This would be a real net positive for society if it occurred in my opinion.
I don't necessarily disagree with your other point although I doubt $10K a year or whatever would be enough to influence these sorts of decisions for most people. Any UBI is going to be very Basic.
I'm not a 30 year old restarting my career but I restarted my programming career at 27 after pausing it for military service. A couple of notes:
- I have not met very many people in tech that have lateral moved careers. I mainly sight them online.
- This path was not easy and I would 100% not recommend it, especially if you cannot handle years on years of failure and insecurity in your face.
- I would call tech a young person's game. Company behaviors, attitudes, and hiring practices reward youth and the energy that goes with it.
Those considerations in mind, counting on rolling the dice on tech is not a good idea. For every one of these people you meet, I suspect there's a long line of people who didn't make it or couldn't tolerate the journey, and I don't blame them.
Perhaps. That helps determine if older people who don't make a lot of money anyway will just decide to stop working.
However, perhaps the bigger question is if it's offered to younger people, will a lot of them simply never get a job after school and, by the time they realize they need more than UBI, it's too late.