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Re:TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks... by elihu on Friday May 14, 2021 @10:21PM (#27161713)
I don't know, that just raises the stakes so that losing would be much more embarrassing (as if that's the most important thing in geopolitics).

I mean, imagine the scenario where Taiwan becomes a U.S. state and then China invades and takes it anyways. And suppose the U.S. can't take it back without all-out (possibly nuclear) war, so they back down and let China have it.

That's a possible outcome that would have to be contemplated if Taiwan were to join the U.S.

Re:TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks... by dnautics on Friday May 14, 2021 @10:59PM (#27161916)
Suppose china invades Taiwan. Then what? They become a pariah state and lose all of their international trading partners for things like oil. Something like 50% of Chinese agriculture is dependent on foreign oil inputs...
Re:TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks... by magicsmoke on Saturday May 15, 2021 @12:51AM (#27162479)
Not sure Russia, Iran, or the Saudis give a shit about Taiwan.

China only loses its oil shipments if it can't secure shipping through the Indian ocean or build an overland alternative. It won't make a move until those are complete.

Re:TSMC looks to double down on U.S. chip factories as talks... by dnautics on Saturday May 15, 2021 @02:00PM (#27167415)
How does it even get to the Indian ocean? Will Indonesia let china-bound oil tankers through? Will Chinese oil tankers need to go around Australia to get to Iran or Saudi Arabia?