Japan should cut losses and tell the IOC to take its Olympic pillage elsewhere

Re:Japan should cut losses and tell the IOC to take its Olym... by Animats on Thursday May 06, 2021 @12:57AM (#27059301)

Less than 2 percent of Japan’s population is vaccinated.

Uh oh. Major international event, in a big city, with 2% vaccinated, not good.

We now have a idea of how many people have to be vaccinated to wipe out the disease. Israel is 81% vaccinated and near zero deaths, and around 0.8 new cases per 100K people per day. The UK is at 66% with at least one dose, around 30% with two doses, and holding steady around 3 new cases per 100K people per day. The US is at 30% with two doses, around 47% with one dose, and about 15 new cases per 100K people per day.

So it looks like reduction at the US rate, containment at the UK rate, and elimination at the Israel rate.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Japan should cut losses and tell the IOC to take its Olym... by raverbashing on Thursday May 06, 2021 @02:06AM (#27059703)

The number of people you need vaccinated is N where N * (vaccine efficiency) = (herd immunity threshold = ~ 70%), so in the case of the higher efficiency vaccines N should be between 75% and 85%

Though anything above (efficiency * vaccinated) above 50% should make a significant dent on the pandemic

[ Parent | on HN ]