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A comment on Excess Deaths in 2020. Parent comment

Re:Excess Deaths in 2020 by sgt101 on Thursday April 29, 2021 @11:02AM (#26982067)
>In the US, 33-50% of the population apparently had antibodies pre-vaccination

Where did that number come from?

I have read more like 8% (https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140-6736(20)32009-2/full...)

So - 2 to 3x... Nope. 8 - 10x.

What I want to know is why you have constructed this belief and want to propagate it when it is refuted by a google search in 10 seconds flat?

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Re:Excess Deaths in 2020 by wk_end on Friday April 30, 2021 @12:03PM (#26995223)
Your article is from last September, using data from last July. It only takes ten seconds to google, but I guess it takes a few more to check timestamps or think critically about the results.

Using more current antibody data, the CDC released updated estimates yesterday [0] that there have been ~115 million actual COVID infections in the US. That makes the 2x-3x number pretty reasonable (especially since herd immunity is supposed to kick in around 70%).

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd...

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Re:Excess Deaths in 2020 by maxerickson on Thursday April 29, 2021 @11:42AM (#26982601)
I wonder if the theory that previously infected people are reacting more strongly to the first doses is true?

I had no real reaction to the first one and a day of increased fatigue so far with the second.

Anecdotally, many more people are having stronger reactions to the second.

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