Re:US agencies call for pause in Johnson & Johnson vaccine
by base698 on Tuesday April 13, 2021 @01:24PM
(#26795793)
From what I can deduce using CDC data my chance of hospitalization is 0.5 to 2%. Assuming linear relationship of obesity in the population and assuming the same risk at the top of my cohort to the bottom.
Re:US agencies call for pause in Johnson & Johnson vaccine
by Izkata on Tuesday April 13, 2021 @02:13PM
(#26796623)
My point was more the last part:
> Many adults (35%) say that at least half of infected people need hospitalization.
This is why so many in low-risk groups have been so enthusiastic - misinformation that has them thinking it really is the Black Death.
Re:US agencies call for pause in Johnson & Johnson vaccine
by hvac on Tuesday April 13, 2021 @02:57PM
(#26797309)
Or maybe people are just terrible at judging acute risks? This isn't unique to covid - ask them about flying on an airliner or living next to a nuclear power plant and you would get some equally comical numbers. At any rate risk of hospitalization/death isn't the complete picture since some of those young people are ostensibly doing it to protect the people around them.
About that...
> In December, we asked, “What percentage of people who have been infected by the coronavirus needed to be hospitalized?”
> The correct answer is not precisely known, but it is highly likely to be between 1% and 5% according to the best available estimates, and it is unlikely to be much higher or lower. We discuss the data and logic behind this conclusion in the appendix.
> Less than one in five U.S. adults (18%) give a correct answer of between 1 and 5%. Many adults (35%) say that at least half of infected people need hospitalization.
https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-misinformation-is-dis...