Wealth compounds much, much faster than the tax burden grows. Someone who inherits $3 million (not much from the point of view of the very-wealthy) can live comfortably on the growth alone while still compounding their wealth further every year.
The only way a wealth tax would compound faster than the wealth itself is if it is larger than the growth rate of the wealth. And since the growth of wealth (e.g. by just putting it in the stock market) has averaged at ~8-10% over the past several decades, a 1% tax is not going to eat into a person's wealth over time. It's simply going to slightly slow that growth down.
Is this so terrible? Doesn't seem to have stopped people investing in property.
With a wealth tax, you can't escape it. You would have to liquidate (parts of) your own company or other illiquid property (which might not even be possible depending on how illiquid it really is) in order to pay a tax. That doesn't seem right to me at all.
Again, why would you do that, if there are much better alternatives possible (like I said, higher capital gains taxes as an example).
(For context: I'm not from the USA and property taxes are not calculated on a percentage of the value of your property where I live. I'm just using USD in my example because I know there are mostly Americans here.)
That's a direct disincentive to saving money and frugality - the more you save, the bigger your tax gets, while your income stays the same.
Correct, that's the point.
> the more you save, the bigger your tax gets, while your income stays the same.
Only if you're a completely useless investor. Most people's income increases as their wealth increases. That's part of the problem. Especially the "r > g" question: are you growing the pie or simply sitting on a larger share?
On the other hand, this can and should be irrelevant to the average family. Start the wealth tax at $1m, say.
But that's already solved by taxing income.
(I was also assuming it would operate like income tax allowances, where you deduct the $1m first and then apply the percentage to the remainder; and we should also consider families, so you could co-own a $2m home without hitting that limit)
The question of which inflation measure the number should keep pace with might be more important in the long term...
And the more you save, the more the returns on your money are. Wealth grows much faster than the tax.
If you have over $50 million (which is the target of this tax), or even if you have $5 million, you're not putting this in a savings account. Even just sticking it in an index fund and forgetting about it generates 8%, and has done so for decades.
It seems to me with a wealth tax they just want to force everyone to work & spend forever, except for the ultra rich who can afford it and who have the means to hide most of their capital offshore. It would be a devastating blow to the FIRE movement, where normal people have the goal the accumulate enough resources & invest them wisely so they and their family can "retire" early.
Remind me, is that "lean FIRE" or "fat FIRE?"
Only if you assume a 0% rate-of-return on your family's wealth. With a realistic assumption about rate-of-return, your wealth will never deplete because of a 2% wealth tax. It will simply grow more slowly.
As for case of non-income generating wealth, too bad. If you can't manage to generate the absolutely pathetically low returns (2%!) that would be needed, then you don't deserve to be rich forever.
I think you completely missed another important point hidden in PG's article, besides the obvious compounding effect, and that is that unrealized gains would be taxed under a wealth tax regime.
To simplify with a ridiculous example: suppose I have $0 to my name and I inherit a family art piece from my grandmother that happens to be valued at $2 million. The next year, under a wealth tax regime of 2% above $1 million, I owe $20,000 to the tax man even though I don't have the money in my account.
That is why I think a wealth tax is a stupid idea. Why not just impose greater capital gains and dividend taxes above a certain threshold, for example? That's where wealth is realized. Until then, you're talking about taxing "imaginary" wealth. (edit: or more generally speaking, taxation should happen on transactions, not on an assumed wealth "state")