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A comment on What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf]. Parent comment

Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by doctor_eval on Monday April 05, 2021 @08:28PM (#26706527)
Not that I agree or disagree with you, but ISTM there are no literal feet on the moon for resources to be under, which removes much of the need for fighting. Why would a country go to war over the discovery of resources in one location when there is literally a whole moon remaining in which to find alternative sources for those resources?

I’m not a geologist but it just seems unlikely to me that the moons natural resources will be materially constrained in the next few hundred years.

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Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by eloff on Monday April 05, 2021 @08:50PM (#26706698)
The moon is a lot smaller than earth for one. I seem to recall it's comparable to the size of the USA, someone correct me if that's a bad memory.

But given enough time, would it not be likely? The present lack of people there has no predictive value about the far future.

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Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by doctor_eval on Tuesday April 06, 2021 @12:26AM (#26707947)
I doubt that we have extracted even 1% of the valuable, accessible non fossil resources of Earth yet, and while I know that the more valuable materials are also harder to extract, the moon is currently 100% unutilised, so the idea of near term war for resources on the moon seems like an extrapolation too far for me.

That’s not to say that there is no chance of war on the moon, given enough time as you say, but “enough time” IMO is centuries, at which timescale any kind of prediction is really just a guess.

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Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by eloff on Tuesday April 06, 2021 @10:26AM (#26712139)
I fully agree. If you go back to my original post it was absolutely clear that's not likely in the near term.
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Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by sjruckle on Monday April 05, 2021 @10:25PM (#26707321)
It's somewhat larger.

https://xkcd.com/1389/

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Re:What are the chances of a third world war? [pdf] by stcredzero on Monday April 05, 2021 @08:39PM (#26706620)
there are no literal feet on the moon for resources to be under, which removes much of the need for fighting.

By the time we have large scale industry on the moon, is this going to be the case? Probably not. Also, not all lunar resources are distributed evenly.

Maybe you're right, which would actually be a very good thing for the human race.

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