In the MTGox days, the discrepancy could be viewed in the delay to take out one's coins; as well as in their market, which was displaying a very different prices than on other exchanges. Scary stuff I'm sure some HNers here will remember.
A delay to take out coins != a fractional reserve. Exchanges operate with hot wallets that have limited throughput, there's a ton of reasons that particular withdrawals may be delayed that don't have anything do with having those assets.
One of the more common scenarios you would see is the hot wallet running low of funds, and there's a delay before more funds can be sent from cold storage to the hot wallet to service more transactions.
If more people are taking crypto off of Coinbase than sending it in, the hot wallet trends downwards. If whales make large withdrawals, it can take a huge leap downwards. Funny antecdote, whales see significantly more delays than your typical consumer but are used to it and have some lines of communication to get insight if they have concerns.
The process to move funds from cold to hot starts, but it's intentionally slow and takes time. So sometimes withdrawals can be delayed until that process completes.
Well, this isn't difficult to prove. Do they have a public process to display that 1:1 backing?
Google is failing me, I can't find anything but this:
https://blog.coinbase.com/a-behind-the-scenes-look-at-the-bi...
Coinbase, and various other exchanges are regulated in the US so they undergo regular audits where having to prove funds is part of it. Some exchanges, I think it was Kraken, has published some version of those results, but the problem with these is at that point you're saying you trust the auditor and the process, which is another thing people would complain about anyways.
Technically, it's also very nontrivial to prove ownership of millions of addresses when they are also constantly changing (due to new address generation). Proving ownership of addresses stored in cold storage is even more involved, and would actually put the funds at risk because you would need to us bring the key out of cold storage to do so. Furthermore, people would likely not be satisfied with a one-time proof, so you need to operationalize this and do it on some regular basis.
Lastly, while this would be nice to have, it's frankly not something I expect any major exchange to do because it's simply not worth the investment. Most customers don't care and are happy to trust the government and regulations to ensure they are good enough. While I understand people are concerned because of what happened with MtGox, that doesn't mean that every other company after is involved in some big conspiracy about lying how much crypto they have. It's just FUD/conspiratorial thinking without real evidence to back it up.
The exchange going down at key moments (read: when the app is seeing peak traffic at new milestones regularly) is basically expected for a young fast growing SV startup, and doesn't support the argument that they are nefarious things going on
To make up for this, the risk & fraud team at Coinbase does incredible work to have very low fraud rates compared to other tech companies and has specific product features to help mitigate this too.
For example, one of those is that when you buy with certain types of payment methods, you can't actually remove the asset from the platform until after some computed period of time. That value is based on a variety of factors powered by some fancy ML stuff and other things to help reduce the risk of loss. Actually recently an ex-Coinbase employee founded a new startup offering fraud-prevention as a service (https://www.sardine.ai/).
In short, Coinbase is very good at reducing fraud on the platform and invests a lot in improving that.
We recently know that Coinbase has had bad behaviour of manipulating the price and find a measly $6 million for market manipulation, so it seems not outside their character.
> After not paying attention to cryptocurrency for a few years and then opening a Coinbase account earlier this year, I was SHOCKED how fast and easy everything was.
I read this as having just created the account and impressed by the platform, not a comparison between the past and now shrug
They've definitely done tons of work to try and address scaling problems, have solved many and will continue to do so, but it's not like you just "solve" scaling once and never have to think about it again. The scale they are seeing now is nothing like they saw in previous runs, so it's always new milestones, something new breaks and then something else to fix.
There's also been a lack of a clear vision from engineering leadership at the top for many years which hasn't helped either.
> We recently know that Coinbase has had bad behavior of manipulating the price and find a measly $6 million for market manipulation, so it seems not outside their character.
My understanding of this is that a couple of internal systems accidentally interacted in a way that was later deemed bad, not an intentional manipulation. And when the COO noticed this action was taken to replace the system with a version that fixed this issue [0]. This was in 2015-2018 when they company was significantly smaller with less expertise on that front. If this had had a significant impact on consumers I would expect to see a larger fine, but I'm not at all well informed on the topic.
Having worked at various startups, the old adage of "don't ascribe malice to what can be explained by incompetence" resonates with me. You so regularly see wild speculation happening on the outside when inside you're just like "wtf that was just a bug, not some grand conspiracy". I expect that this issue falls under that category, lack of knowledge rather than part of their "character"
[0] https://decrypt.co/62155/coinbase-fined-6-5-million-over-tra...
If you have a link to a writeup provided by the SEC's investigation outlying this as an accident - I'd like to see that.
Plausible deniability is used by bad actors, and the existence of investors investing in founders who will do anything to protect their investment isn't a myth - it gets discussed a few times per year in threads on HN and Reddit.
Two independent programs with separate purposes, sometimes accidentally trading with each other which could affect the price. This information was included in API data (since it was just normal trades) which can create the appearance of activity or volume that doesn't truly exist. But these were real trades, so in some ways it does still exist it's just that CB happens to be on both sides.
[0]: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8369-21
> Plausible deniability is used by bad actors, and the existence of investors investing in founders who will do anything to protect their investment isn't a myth - it gets discussed a few times per year in threads on HN and Reddit.
I agree that has been used like this and will be in the future, but it's different to claim it's possible than spread FUD that it is actually happening (not directed at you to be clear). The latter is what you commonly see in online discussions revolving around Coinbase, though really with all tech companies.
My one worry-- it seems like they use a similar pattern to Robinhood where upon purchase they grant an asset immediately (synthetically?), and then settle up actual holdings after the fact. What kind of risk does that open them up to in an asset class as volatile as crypto?