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Re:Covid 'fuse' may have been lit weeks or months before the... by eCa on Wednesday March 31, 2021 @08:53AM (#26646613)
The 70% is my issue with the article as well. That seems to indicate a 30% chance for the pandemic that actually happened, but that seems awfully high.
Re:Covid 'fuse' may have been lit weeks or months before the... by Retric on Wednesday March 31, 2021 @09:02AM (#26646704)
30% chance for a pandemic not necessarily this pandemic. Assuming they are correct the outbreak could have easily been noticed in a different city for example.
Re:Covid 'fuse' may have been lit weeks or months before the... by dls2016 on Wednesday March 31, 2021 @09:10AM (#26646786)
Aren't there other outcomes, like the relatively contained SARS/MERS outbreaks of the past?