Re:Early-Retirement Update
by neogodless on Monday March 22, 2021 @07:14PM
(#26548746)
https://engaging-data.com/will-money-last-retire-early/
You're more likely to die than run out of money!
Re:Early-Retirement Update
by TheCoelacanth on Monday March 22, 2021 @11:17PM
(#26550634)
Certainly, but with their example of retiring at 40, you have an 8.5% chance of going broke before you die and a 3.4% chance of going broke before you even reach a normal retirement age.
That's a much higher level of risk than I would accept.
I don't think that's the case if you're retiring early. The 4% withdrawal rate was based on a 30 year retirement. You need to go a bit lower if you want to have minimal risk of running out of money for a much longer horizon.