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Re:Show HN: Futuure – hash-certified public prediction store by rkangel on Friday March 12, 2021 @01:12PM (#26438853)
You would need some concept of published identity, otherwise they could just create their predictions against multiple different identities each with e.g. 10 predictions.
Re:Show HN: Futuure – hash-certified public prediction store by se4u on Friday March 12, 2021 @02:13PM (#26439647)
So actually this wont be a problem. Basically if they do this then each account that they create will only have very few published predictions. So it will be like a coin which comes up head twice after two tosses. The public will not trust such accounts with low number of correct predictions.

To build trust you'd need to have a high count of revealed predictions in any given account.

That said people can try to game the system by uploading a very large number of predictions programmatically, so I think a rate throttling will have to be enforced. Any account can't make more than one prediction a day or something like that.

Also note that the issue you raised will also affect OP's implementation.

Re:Show HN: Futuure – hash-certified public prediction store by repartix on Friday March 12, 2021 @10:09PM (#26443550)
Add cost to post the prediction. At high enough cost it can't be gamed.

edit: and it's also your revenue.