Re:Multimodal Neurons in Artificial Neural Networks
by Veedrac on Tuesday March 09, 2021 @01:16PM
(#26401688)
The bars are quartiles, so 25% of the probability mass is for ~53 years away or closer.
Note that timelines for the HLMI variant of the question[1], which was asked to more people, had more like a 50% aggregate probability for 50 years away, per Figure 1.
[1] “High-level machine intelligence” (HLMI) is achieved when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers.
Note that timelines for the HLMI variant of the question[1], which was asked to more people, had more like a 50% aggregate probability for 50 years away, per Figure 1.
[1] “High-level machine intelligence” (HLMI) is achieved when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers.