Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by walrus01 on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:18AM
(#26383039)
It's my understanding that nowhere near enough pipeline capacity exists, like, not even 10% of China's weekly/monthly oil consumption.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by kortilla on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:29AM
(#26383099)
But wouldn’t china be motivated and have the means to build all of that pipeline very quickly?
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by irrational on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:39AM
(#26383155)
Seriously. This is China. No need for environmental impact studies. They built 2 hospitals in a matter of days. They can probably lay down a few tens of thousands of miles of pipe in a week.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by rjzzleep on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:59AM
(#26383260)
They've been building hundreds of thousands of kms of road per year. Although I don't know what the real numbers are.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by nine_k on Monday March 08, 2021 @08:38AM
(#26385548)
Chinese might.
Russians? IDK. It won't be their war. And the oil wells of Russia are rather far from China border, in pretty inhospitable Siberia.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by throwaway4good on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:28AM
(#26383098)
They would just get the oil by trucks.
Sure it is more expensive than getting it by oil tankers. But possible. And it would be cheaper than the US cost of doing a naval embargo.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by msh on Monday March 08, 2021 @02:40AM
(#26383167)
There is nowhere near enought trucks in existance for that.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by throwaway4good on Monday March 08, 2021 @03:05AM
(#26383283)
Is that really correct?
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by msh on Monday March 08, 2021 @03:21AM
(#26383360)
China imports according to google 7,620,760 barrels of oil a day.
A similar lookup gives that the largest tanker trucks can carry 176 barrels of oil.
So that would, if all capacity was by truck (I know it will not be) over 43000 truck loads pr day over very bad road conditions.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by Rule35 on Monday March 08, 2021 @03:58AM
(#26383568)
Russian oil is quite a ways West, around Kazakhstan, and China's population density is to the East. The trip would be around 5000km, and take a week on good roads. Perhaps double or triple this depending on the season, and maybe with a "Russia" multiplier.
So multiply that 43,000 by 14 to 42, or more, and you're within a factor of ten of all (~16M according to Google) commercial trucks in the world, of which only some fraction are tanker trucks.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by throwaway4good on Monday March 08, 2021 @04:19AM
(#26383672)
Interesting. But how is all that oil currently distributed within Russia and China?