Covid vaccination linked to 'substantial reduction' in hospital admissions

Re:Covid vaccination linked to 'substantial reduction' in ho... by hinkley on Monday February 22, 2021 @01:31PM (#26228325)

Could it be that there's a strain that results in largely asymptomatic cases and there is not enough data on those people? That could result in a decline now due to competition, or the slope of the line is historically wrong due to invisible statistics.

I know there has been some trouble identifying antibodies in people who were exposed months ago. So if you aren't really sick, you only get counted (maybe) if someone in your circle gets really sick.

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Re:Covid vaccination linked to 'substantial reduction' in ho... by taeric on Monday February 22, 2021 @01:56PM (#26228766)

For myself? I have no idea. I think this would fall under a general data quality concern.

I can say I have not seen this brought up too much on Twitter. With the caveat that I am not following everyone. :)

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Re:Covid vaccination linked to 'substantial reduction' in ho... by hinkley on Monday February 22, 2021 @04:22PM (#26230827)

I do know that sometimes graphs with weird dog-legs are caused by either graphing the wrong derivative[1], or because there are more populations and someone is either being devious or is unaware.

[1] Developers are by and large flummoxed by S-curves for progress. An S curve for distance maps to a bell curve for velocity. If the sums don't make sense, look at the rates, or the rate of change. Don't keep staring at the S trying to fit trend lines.

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